We propose a new data-rich environment model of the yield curve, the macroeconomy, monetary policies and effective exchange rates for a panel of 11 countries: the iDREAM. The endogenous variables are observable (short- and long-term interest rates, exchange rates) and latent factors (economic...

We propose a tool to predict risks to economic growth and international business cycles spillovers: the GDP-Network CoVaR. Our methodology to assess Growth-at-Risk is composed by two building blocks. First, we apply the network-based NETS methodology by Barigozzi and Brownlees to identify...