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demand economically and statistically significant risk premiums to hold financial assets performing poorly during market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093812
a production economy featuring long-run productivity and temperature volatility risk. In the model temperature …We produce novel empirical evidence on the relevance of temperature volatility shocks for the dynamics of macro … volatility and the macroeconomy varies over time. First, the sign of the causality from temperature volatility to TFP growth is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892874
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
In this paper we examine the pricing of volatility risk using SPX corridor implied volatility. We decompose model … information for forecasting future volatility risk. Overall, our empirical results provide strong evidence that SPX out …-of-the money put option prices do not contain useful information for capturing systematic volatility risk in equity returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087088
This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We … construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims … short term risk premia captures time variation in index excess returns, albeit with the wrong sign. Counter to the intuition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091355
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
affect most assets - hence it qualifies as a state variable in the senseof the ICAPM and should carry a risk premium. We … Statesof America. Through Fama-Macbeth regressions we find a significant risk premium whichincreases in bad economic times when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909481
Using a news-based index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), we find that EPU is positively associated with credit default swap (CDS) spreads and negatively associated with the number of liquidity providers in the CDS market. A 10% increase in EPU leads to an 8.4% increase in CDS spreads and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853711
We examine the effect of voluntary climate risk disclosure on Credit Default Swap (CDS) premiums. We develop a … structural credit risk model, in which climate-related disclosures serve as an information source reducing uncertainty about … climate risks. The model predicts a negative relation between the informativeness of climate risk disclosure and the CDS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404223