In this paper we show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of the London Metal Exchange Index and of the six primary non-ferrous metals that are part of the index: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. The economic relationship hinges on the present-value...

In this study, the performance and rationality of the gross domestic product growth forecasts by the World Bank (WB) for six regional aggregates and 130 individual countries between 1999 and 2019 are assessed. A large body of literature examines macroeconomic forecasts for advanced economies by...

In this paper we show that the exchange rates of some commodity exporter countries have the ability to predict the price of spot and future contracts of aluminum. This is shown with both insample and out-of-sample analyses. The theoretical underpinning of these results relies on the...

This paper present a variety of approaches to estimating error-correction relationships between CPI inflation and selected commodity price indices, based on their ability to to forecast out-of-sample predictions of CPI inflation. Depending on specification, commodity prices have marginal value...

In this paper we show that the MSCI ACWI Metals and Mining Index has the ability to predict base metal prices. We use both in-sample and out-of-sample exercises to conduct such examination. The theoretical underpinning of these results relies on the present-value model for stock-price...

We study the relationship between interchange fees and card transactions in a large panel of countries and assess the impact of the Interchange Fee Regulation, introduced in 2015 in the European Union, on card usage. For our purposes, we take advantage of a newly assembled dataset covering...

Titel -- Inhalt -- Vorwort -- Herausgeber -- Autorenverzeichnis -- Teil I: Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Payment-Markt -- Einführung -- Future Retail Payments: the Implications of Innovation for the Single Euro Payments Area -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Retail payments integration - the Single Euro...

In unserer Bezahlwelt tobt ein Krieg gegen das Bargeld. Es geht um kommerzielle Interessen und um die technologiegetriebenen Geschäftsmodelle von Mastercard, Microsoft, Apple und Co. Und es geht um die Freiheit des Individuums. Der Wirtschaftsexperte Norbert Häring belegt, wie eine Allianz aus...