The empirical research we have conducted shows that the central bank design, in particular choosing a narrow central bank objective geared towards price stability, can help reduce the likelihood of a crisis. This is also the case for the independence of the central bank. This result is more in...

Recent weaknesses in the world economy have prompted a downward revision of forecasts for 2019. The baseline projection scenario points to a widespread easing of growth, albeit more so in some areas than in others, against a backdrop of high uncertainty and significant downside risks. These...

Large swings in cross-border capital flows can have consequences for domestic stability and open a channel for the transmission of shocks and spillovers across economies, including the euro area. Against this backdrop, the present paper reviews new evidence for the effectiveness of capital flow...