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Global Finance Liquidity Risk Revisited : Development of a Framework for Liquidity Assessment in Portfolio Construction Process: Presentations to the JP Morgan Global Head of Quant...
Malhotra, Yogesh - 2022
GLOBAL FINANCE LIQUIDITY RISK REVISITED: Development of A Framework for Liquidity Assessment in Portfolio Construction Process: Presentations to the JP Morgan Global Head of Quant Research & Analytics and US Head of Portfolio Construction Teams:Presentations To: JP Morgan Global Head of Quant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403261
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Global Finance Liquidity Risk Revisited : JP Morgan Alternative Assets Portfolio Liquidity Assessment Framework & Models: $500 Billion Fund of Funds: 17 Asset Classes
Malhotra, Yogesh - 2022
GLOBAL FINANCE LIQUIDITY RISK REVISITED: JP Morgan Alternative Assets Portfolio Liquidity Assessment Framework & Models: $500 Billion Fund of Funds: 17 Asset ClassesPresentations atJP Morgan World HQ, 270 Park Ave, Manhattan, NY, USAToJP Morgan Global Head of Quant Research & Analytics, JP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405318
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Multi-factor, Age-Cohort, Affine Mortality Models : A Multi-Country Comparison
Ungolo, Francesco; Sherris, Michael; Zhou, Yuxin - 2021
Affine mortality models, developed in continuous time, are well suited to longevity applications including pricing and … these survival curves consistent with the dynamics of mortality rates. We compare a number of multi-factor continuous …-time affine models applied to age-cohort mortality data in a multi-country comparison of five countries with differing lengths of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214191
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach
Vitek, Francis - 2012
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102206
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Forecasting the Price of Crude Oil with Multiple Predictors
Kaya, Hüseyin - 2017
For the price of crude oil, this paper aims to investigate the predictive content of a variety of variables including oil futures prices, exchange rates of particular countries and stock-market indexes. Out-of-sample forecasting results suggest that oil futures prices have marginal predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957399
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Point, Interval and Density Forecasts of Exchange Rates with Time-Varying Parameter Models
Abbate, Angela - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987883
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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Forecasting Euro Exchange Rates : How Much Does Model Averaging Help?
Cuaresma, Jesús Crespo - 2007
We analyze the performance of Bayesian model averaged exchange rate forecasts for euro/US dollar, euro/Japanese yen, euro/Swiss franc and euro/ British pound rates using weights based on the out-of-sample predictive likelihood. The paper also presents a simple stratified sampling procedure in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223183
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The Role of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Volatility in International Equity Markets
Buncic, Daniel - 2016
We analyse the importance of jumps and the leverage effect on forecasts of realized volatility in a large cross-section of 18 international equity markets, using daily realized measures data from the Oxford-Man Realized Library, and two widely employed empirical models for realized volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983715