, conventional linear models of price dynamics such as the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) can lead to erroneous inferences … about cointegration relationships, price adjustments and relative values. We propose the use of regime-switching models to … address these issues. Our regime switching model uses price data to infer whether pricing is oil-driven (integrated) or gas …

pairwise, relative and σ-convergence. We show that there is evidence of pairwise price convergence and that some key … of price-growth convergence, while price-level convergence is not supported by the data. Lastly, we assess the the short …-run implications of price convergence focusing on the speed of reversion to equilibrium after a system-wide shocks hits the …

information about supply cuts for identification and find that gas supply and demand shocks have large and persistent price … effects, while output effects are rather moderate. The 2022 natural gas price spike was driven by adverse flow supply shocks … embargo on natural gas imports from Russia indicate similar positive price and negative output effects compared to what we …

shocks have large and persistent price effects, while output effects tend to be moderate. The 2022 natural gas price spike … winter. Counterfactual simulations of an embargo on natural gas imports from Russia indicate similar positive price and …

shocks have large and persistent price effects, while output effects tend to be moderate. The 2022 natural gas price spike … winter. Counterfactual simulations of an embargo on natural gas imports from Russia indicate similar positive price and …

transmission of price volatility between commodity futures markets is analysed. The background question is whether and to what … price changes of 2008. In this analysis the volatility of the maize futures price at three different commodity futures … bio-fuel policy. -- Commodity Futures ; Corn ; Time Series ; price volatility transmission ; multi-variate GARCH …