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We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155344
particular, they focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its … most extreme aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation … decline that was unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906127
, we focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its interaction … aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation decline that was … unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive, consistent with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655148
investigates the prevalence of inefficiencies during the post GFC period (2010-18) in India. A stochastic frontier gravity model is … variable and five dimensions of the Economic Freedom Index (EFI) as explanatory variables for India and at an aggregate level … environment of India during the period of analysis, which can be mainly attributed to the November 2016 sudden implementation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352025
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364299
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the … near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809