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volatility indices. The models include linear, quadratic and nonlinear drift specifications with affine, constant elasticity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023052
-portfolio specific volatility indices called portfolio risk drivers. The dynamics of the risk drivers are modelled by multiplicative …. The proposed risk drivers capture the volatility structure of asset returns in different industry sectors. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989295
-portfolio specific volatility indices called portfolio risk drivers. The dynamics of the risk drivers are modelled by multiplicative …. The proposed risk drivers capture the volatility structure of asset returns in different industry sectors. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295926
The asset value of government has traditionally been seen as the accounting value of public assets. We develop a detailed financial economics view on sovereign asset values using market measures to arrive at implied sovereign asset values. We establish definition and dependencies within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460917
Recent empirical studies report predictable dynamics in the volatility surfaces implied by observed index option prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150628
This paper evaluates and compares the ability of alternative option-implied volatility measures to forecast the monthly … realized volatility of crude-oil returns. We find that a corridor implied volatility measure that aggregates information from a …-free volatility expectations, as well as those generated by a high-frequency realized volatility model. In particular, this measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835335
We construct a global implied volatility surface by combining information from the index options of twenty countries …, including global level and slope, U.S. convexity, VIX, SVIX, variance risk premium, and left-tail volatility. The predictability … of global convexity comes from its left-tail contributions related to crash fears (left-tail volatility), and right …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349532
We analyse the importance of jumps and the leverage effect on forecasts of realized volatility in a large cross … widely employed empirical models for realized volatility that allow for jumps and leverage. Our out-of-sample forecast … evaluation results show that the separation of realized volatility into a continuous and a discontinuous (jump) component is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983715
Using a multi-regime forecasting model, we investigate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on market volatility. We show … volatility and the GJR-GARCH volatility in global equity markets. We estimate realized volatilities using intraday 5-minute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828834