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underpricing of risk made possible by regulatory arbitrage and shadow financing fueled the credit and twin real estate bubbles of … the mid-2000s. Across countries and over time bubbles have been particularly acute in real estate markets reflecting not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509124
Asset prices in general, and real house prices in particular, are often characterized by a nonlinear data-generating process which displays mildly explosive behavior in some periods. Here, we investigate the emergence of explosiveness in the dynamics of real house prices and the role played by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851645
We investigate the relation between downside beta and stock returns in a global context using more than 170 million daily return observations. Contrary to the findings in the U.S. equity market, we show that downside beta does not explain the cross-sectional differences in future and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903218
Taking into account expected return characteristics like firm size and book-to-market in the selection of winners and losers helps to ex ante separate stocks with momentum from those that exhibit reversal in international equity markets. A strategy that buys small value winners and sells large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893957
Stock return predictability by investor sentiment has been subject to constant updating, but reaching a decisive conclusion seems rather challenging as academic research relies heavily on US data. We provide fresh evidence on stock return predictability in an international setting and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005275
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
The purpose of this study is to assess the diversification benefits resulting from international asset allocation. In this study, we examine Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in its international ontext (ICAPM) using the monthly equity returns for 26 countries (18 developed and 8 emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079478
This paper provides global evidence supporting the hypothesis that expected return models are enhanced by the inclusion of variables that describe the evolution of book-to-market-changes in book value, changes in price, and net share issues. This conclusion is supported using data representing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022063
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