The failure of financial institutions is often depicted as an externally-driven event in which certain triggers almost inevitably lead to the collapse of the firm. In contrast, this paper views institutional failure as a multistage process in which precautionary measures taken by the firm can...

The history of banking provides a view that banks are often a liability to stable economies and their behavior can promote inequality, especially when they are involved in imprudent manipulation of credit and money and require government bailouts. What is the future of capitalism without banks,...

There exists strong commonality in credit risk across sovereigns [Pan and Singleton (2008); Longstaff, Pan, Pedersen and Singleton (2011)]. This paper embeds this commonality into a rating-based, reduced-form model. A parsimonious version of the rating-based model can adequately capture the...

A controversial new financing phenomenon has recently emerged. New “income share agreements” (“ISAs”) enable an individual to raise funds by pledging a percentage of her future earnings to investors for a certain number of years. These contracts, which have been offered by entities such...

This paper presents an analytical framework to assess the probability of achieving nationally determined contributions (NDC). The prediction model based on the Kaya identity is used to simulate the pathway of carbon emission until the target year. Applying the modified STIRPAT framework (named...

This paper presents an operational framework for assessing the trajectories of production, energy, emissions, and capital accumulation to ensure the implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The framework combines widely used methodologies (STIRPAT, system dynamics, and...

This article explains the roots of financial crises in one of the oldest and most fundamental problems of commercial law: hidden leverage. Common law courts wrestled with this problem for centuries and developed a time – tested solution: the doctrine of secret liens. If the debtor becomes...

This paper presents an analytical and empirical analysis of a parsimonious model framework that accounts for a dependence of bond and bank loan recoveries on systematic risk. We extend the single risk factor model by assuming that the recovery rates also depend on this risk factor and follow a...

Generally, information provision and certification have been identified as the major economic functions of rating agencies. This paper analyzes whether the 'watchlist (rating review) instrument has extended the agencies' role towards a monitoring position, as proposed by Boot, Milbourn, and...

In this paper we provide an analysis of the process of creative destruction across 24 countries and 2-digit industries over the past decade. We rely on a newly assembled dataset that draws from different micro data sources (business registers, census, or representative enterprise surveys). The...