We investigate the relation between downside beta and stock returns in a global context using more than 170 million daily return observations. Contrary to the findings in the U.S. equity market, we show that downside beta does not explain the cross-sectional differences in future and...

The purpose of this study is to assess the diversification benefits resulting from international asset allocation. In this study, we examine Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in its international ontext (ICAPM) using the monthly equity returns for 26 countries (18 developed and 8 emerging...

The purpose of this study is to assess the diversification benefits resulting from international asset allocation. In this study, we examine Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in its international context (ICAPM) using the monthly equity returns for 26 countries (18 developed and 8 emerging...

This paper documents an economically and statistically significant positive premium for oil beta uncertainty in the cross-section of global equity returns. Using a battery of market and portfolio level tests, we show that oil beta uncertainty, measured by the total range spanned by the 95%...

The paper examines the effect of exchange rate risk on the conditional relationship between beta risk and return in international equity markets from January 1978 through September 2004. We use an extension of the model introduced by Pettengill, Sundaran, and Mathur (PSM Model, 1995) and adapted...

This paper uses time-varying second moments to investigate exchange rate exposure betas. Using a BEKK-GARCH(1,21)-M model, time-varying exchange rate exposure betas are obtained with explicit focus on the non-orthogonality between exchange rate changes and market returns. We look into certain...

We hypothesize that weather's emotional effects depend on climate and season, and examine the relation between weather (sunshine, wind, rain, snow, and temperature) and index returns separately for each region (cold, hot, and mild countries) and month. We find strong effects of all five weather...

We examine the long-term relationship between signals derived from nine years of unstructured social media microblog text data and financial market developments in five major economic regions. Employing statistical language modeling techniques we construct directional sentiment metrics and link...

This paper shows that analyst recommendations aggregated at the country level predict international stock market returns. A trading strategy based on past country-level recommendations yields an abnormal return of around 0.9 percent per month. Aggregate analyst recommendations also predict...

Changes in shipping freight rates predict stock market returns. In today's global world, where economies are linked through international trade, shipping freight rates carry information about economic activity which is reflected in stock returns. Our results are statistically and economically...