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The Chinese housing market has grown rapidly following its liberalization in the 1990s, generating significant economic activity and demand for base metals. In this paper, we discuss the evolution of the Chinese housing market and quantify its importance for the overall Chinese economy and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439874
The paper attempts to provide, for housing markets, evidence of 'shift-contagion' at the international level, i.e., regime shifts in the transmission of asset prices during crisis periods. The focus is in particular on UK and Spain. We use a Markov Switching FAVAR framework and regime-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137045
Asset prices in general, and real house prices in particular, are often characterized by a nonlinear data-generating process which displays mildly explosive behavior in some periods. Here, we investigate the emergence of explosiveness in the dynamics of real house prices and the role played by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851645
We examine house price co-movements within and cross four major economic blocks: North America, Europe, Oceania and the Far East. The purpose of this study is to establish: (1) Whether there was increased house price correlation within a given economic block or across different blocks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178964
This paper assesses how the degree of the mortgage market flexibility alters the effect of a residential house price shock on household credit and GDP. We estimate a panel vector autoregression model for a sample of 16 OECD countries for the period 1985Q1-2012Q4 and we identify a house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012915
Real estate markets, including residential markets, are subject to cycles and are determined by local factors. This dependence is the result of local interactions of a variable demand and rigid short-term supply, which results from the relation between the real sector of the economy (real estate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003926
Real estate markets, including residential markets, are subject to cycles and are determined by local factors. This dependence is the result of local interactions of a variable demand and rigid short-term supply, which results from the relation between the real sector of the economy (real estate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003927
The global financial crisis of the past decade has shaken the research and policy worlds out of their belief that housing markets are mostly benign and immaterial for understanding economic cycles. Instead, a growing consensus recognizes the central role that housing plays in shaping economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858648
The Campbell-Shiller present value formula implies a factor structure for the price-rent ratio of the housing market. Using a dynamic factor model, we decompose the price-rent ratios of 17 major housing markets into a national factor and independent local factors, and we link these factors to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000617344