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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001982790
explicitly considered. When the actual debt exceeds debt-max, then the economy will default when a "bad shock" occurs. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460993
Sovereign debt crises involve debt restructurings characterized by a mix of face-value haircuts and maturity extensions. The prevalence of maturity extensions has been hard to reconcile with economic theory. We develop a model of endogenous debt restructuring that captures key facts of sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911551
The wave of sovereign defaults in the early 1980s and the string of debt crises in the decades that followed have fostered proposals involving policy interventions in sovereign debt restructurings. A key question about these proposals that has proved hard to handle is how they in influence the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139015
This essay describes fundamental flaws in the sovereign debt restructuring regime, but questions the prevailing arguments for sovereign bankruptcy. I conclude that efficient debt outcomes may well come about without bankruptcy, but that a statutory regime is necessary to achieve sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088848
Sovereign defaults are bad news for investors and debtor countries, in particular if a default becomes messy and protracted. Why are some debt crises resolved quickly, in a matter of months, while others take many years to settle? This paper studies the duration of sovereign debt crises based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910995
This paper focuses on emerging markets government bonds issued in local currency with different maturities. Foreign investors face interest rate, currency, and credit risks. We consider the entire term structure of carry trade returns and find that, while the default premium does not contribute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853298
This paper studies the relationship between sovereign debt default and sovereign credit risk by taking into account the depth of a debt restructuring and by distinguishing between commercial and official debt. We take different proxies for credit risk measures, such as rating agencies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858601
Sovereign debt crises have been recurrent events over the past two centuries. In recent years, the timing of sovereign crises has coincided or has directly followed banking crises. The link between sovereigns and banks tightened as the contingent liability that the banking sector represents for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032764
IMF programs are often considered to carry a "stigma" that triggers adverse market reactions. We show that such a negative IMF effect disappears when accounting for endogenous selection into programs. To proxy for a country's access to financial markets, we use credit ratings and investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931328