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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944448
We build a panel of 14 emerging economies to estimate the magnitude of housing, stock market, and money wealth eÞects on consumption. Using modern panel data econometric techniques and quarterly data for the period 1990:1-2008:2, we show that: (i) wealth effects are statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831615
Our aim is to explore how globalisation has affected consumption risk-sharing in emerging market economies. To that end, we implement a consumption risk-sharing test, using the Barro-Ursua Macroeconomic data set. Its span lets us explore historic episodes in which globalisation has markedly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893167
Macroeconomic disasters (wars, pandemics, depressions) are characterized by drastic shifts and increased volatility of the aggregate consumption to income ratio. By standard intertemporal budget constraint logic, this ratio is linked to expectations of future income and consumption growth rates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511037
This work presents a robust empirical approach to dealing with the issue of the long run relationship between macroeconomic volatility, consumption behaviour and welfare for a large sample of countries. Differing from previous works, our empirical strategy is grounded on consumption and takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102776
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485049
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business formation. Models with an extensive investment margin, i.e. endogenous firm and product entry, have difficulties explaining these two phenomena simultaneously. Considering different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
We collect 2,735 estimates of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution in consumption from 169 published studies that cover 104 countries during different time periods. The estimates vary substantially from country to country, even after controlling for 30 aspects of study design. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786885
We show that countries that take on more international risk are rewarded with higher expected consumption growth. International risk is defined as the beta of a country’s consumption growth with world consumption growth. High-beta countries hold more foreign assets, as predicted by the theory....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003715562
Rare events (RE) and long-run risks (LRR) are complementary approaches for characterizing macroeconomic variables and understanding asset pricing. We estimate a model with RE and LRR using long-term consumption data for 42 economies, identify these two types of risks simultaneously from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854524