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Since the dismantling of the Bretton Woods system, gold has delivered average return comparable to the average return … the financiers. In the context of modern asset pricing models, say the CAPM model or the Fama-French three factor model …, gold is a risk free asset, as it has no covariation with the risk factors. The large average gold return is a Jensen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081787
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715114
From 1836 to 2011, the average real rate of price change for gold in the United States is 1.1% per year and the … gold's real rate of price change with consumption and GDP growth rates are small and statistically insignificantly … between gold services and ordinary consumption, the model can generate a mean real rate of price change within the (0.1%, 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087443
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626973
From 1836 to 2011, the average real rate of price change for gold in the United States is 1.1% per year and the … gold's real rate of price change with consumption and GDP growth rates are small and statistically insignificantly … between gold services and ordinary consumption, the model can generate a mean real rate of price change within the (0.1%, 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459902
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102206
We estimate new indices measuring financial and economic (in)stability in Austria and in the euro area. Instead of estimating the level of (in)stability in a financial or economic system we measure the degree of predictability of (in)stability, where our methodological approach is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792745
We propose a new data-rich environment model of the yield curve, the macroeconomy, monetary policies and effective exchange rates for a panel of 11 countries: the iDREAM. The endogenous variables are observable (short- and long-term interest rates, exchange rates) and latent factors (economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916500
A reflection on the lackluster growth over the decade since the Global Financial Crisis has renewed interest in preventative measures for a long-standing problem. Advances in machine learning algorithms during this period present promising forecasting solutions. In this context, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362692
This paper examines banking crises in a large sample of countries over a forty-year period. A multinomial modeling approach is applied to panel data in order to track and capture end-to-end cyclical crisis formations, which enhances the binary focus of previous research studies. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403254