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Bayesian methods to hedge fund evaluation. Little or no academic attention has been paid to the combination of these two topics …-GARCH time series model with stable innovations, we compare our risk evaluation and prediction results to the predictions of …
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In small samples and especially in the case of small true default probabilities, standard approaches to credit default probability estimation have certain drawbacks. Most importantly, standard estimators tend to underestimate the true default probability which is of course an undesirable...
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