The global economies were caught up unawares with the sudden outbreak and rapid spread of coronavirus pandemic from Wuhan City of China to the rest of the world. A number of studies have been conducted to investigate the drivers of the spread of the viral infection. To differ with these studies...

The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of oil price, US Dollar rate and VIX on Borsa Istanbul by employing quantile regression model. In the literature, there are studies that examine the effect of the mentioned factors on stock market, but the number of studies in which these...

This research addresses a simple but important unanswered question in the factor investing literature: how do the factor exposures of equity factor strategies decay over time? The answer to this question has two important practical consequences. Firstly, understanding how a strategy’s factor...

Distributional accounts for households enable measurement, study developments andidentify drivers of inequality. Distributional information on households’ wealth is availablefrom the Household Finance and Consumption Survey only for three points in time (2009 –2018), while aggregates are...

We investigate the performance of Value at Risk (VaR) models at measuring risk for WTI oil one-month futures returns. VaR models are used to calculate commodity market risk at extreme quantiles: 0.95, 0.99, 0.995 and 0.999 for both long and short trading positions. Widespread VaR models do not...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the performance of VaR models at measuring risk for WTI oil one-month futures returns. Risk models, ranging from industry standards such as RiskMetrics and historical simulation to conditional extreme value model, are used to calculate commodity market...

This article analyzes the tail behavior of energy price risk using a multivariate approach, in which the exposure to energy markets is given by a portfolio of oil, gas, coal, and electricity. To accommodate various dependence and tail decay patterns, this study models energy returns using...

Is bitcoin the new digital gold? To answer this question, we investigate the potential benefits of bitcoin during extremely volatile periods. We use the multivariate extreme value theory, which is the appropriate statistical approach to model the tail dependence structure of the return...

Weather and temperatures vary in ways that are difficult to explain and predict precisely. In this article we review data on temperature variations in the past as well possible reasons for these variations. Subsequently, we review key properties of global climate models and statistical analyses...

We model the new quantitative aspects of market risk management for banks that Basel established in 2016 and came into effect in January 2019. Market risk is measured by Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) or Expected Shortfall at a confidence level of 97.5%. The regulatory backtest remains largely...