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We employ a structural VAR model with global and US variables to study the relevance and transmission of oil, food commodities, and industrial input price shocks. We show that commodities are not all alike. Industrial input price changes are almost entirely endogenous responses to other shocks....
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commodity price shocks. Both approaches deliver similar conclusions. Specifically, an unfavorable food commodity market shock … raises food commodity prices, and leads to a rise in food, energy and core inflation, and to a persistent fall in real GDP …
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increases and decreases in global energy and food prices, exchange rates, and money supply which cause inflation/deflation from … significantly. Meanwhile, the increase in global food prices causes inflation in the short run. The exchange rate has the most … significant effect on the CPI. Depreciation of the rupiah significantly increases the CPI, which means it causes inflation, while …
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