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Earnings forecasts can be useful for investment decisions. Research on earnings forecasts has focused on forecast performance in relation to firm characteristics, on categorizing the analysts into groups with similar behaviour and on the effect of an earnings announcement by thefirm on future...
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Analysts providing more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable recommendations. We demonstrate how investors can profit from this contemporaneous link by differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts. In line with previous studies, we find that past track records alone are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009705474
We document that investors can actually profit from the contemporaneous link between earnings accuracy and recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts we suggest an implementable, i.e. look-ahead bias free, trading strategy that yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696828
In this study, we analyze the forecast accuracy and profitability of buy recommendations published in five major German financial magazines for private households based on fundamental analysis. The results show a high average forecast accuracy but with a very high standard deviation, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150526
In recent theories of financial analysis, a financial approach has been adopted which is based on the dynamic (modern) coefficients established from cash flows - cash flow indicators. Some of the areas of their application are capital investments, which largely depend on internal sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350161
We investigate two yield curve strategies: Curve carry selects bond maturities based on carry and betting-against-beta always selects the shortest maturities. We investigate these strategies for international bond markets. We find that the global curve carry factor has strong performance that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855344
We introduce Climate Change Valuation Adjustment (CCVA) to capture climate change impacts on CVA+FVA that are currently invisible assuming typical market practice. To discuss such impacts on CVA+FVA from changes to instantaneous hazard rates we introduce a flexible and expressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228946
This paper examines contracts and the costs of accessing private markets globally. Contract terms vary by fund region and type. European funds charge lower fees than US funds, but evidence linking regulation to fee compression is weak. Investors’ costs are estimated to be 5% to 26% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255326