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We document that investors can actually profit from the contemporaneous link between earnings accuracy and recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts we suggest an implementable, i.e. look-ahead bias free, trading strategy that yields...
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This paper presents new evidence on international financial market integration using stock analyst earnings forecasts from around the world. By examining cash flow and discount rate news comovements, we find that financial and economic integration has diverged over time as financial integration...
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This paper shows that analyst recommendations aggregated at the country level predict international stock market returns. A trading strategy based on past country-level recommendations yields an abnormal return of around 0.9 percent per month. Aggregate analyst recommendations also predict...
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We examine the value of analyst recommendations across 45 countries and 3.8 million firm-month observations from 1994 to 2019. Recommendation-based portfolio strategies lead to highly significant (insignificant) abnormal returns in international markets (in the U.S.). In line with...
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