Einleitung -- Wichtige makroökonomische Kennzahlen -- Der Modellrahmen -- Makroökonomische Konjunkturtheorien -- Die US-Wirtschaft bei Trumps Amtsantritt -- Die Auswirkungen von Trumps Vorhaben -- Fazit.

What is the likelihood that the U.S. will experience a devastating catastrophic event over the next few decades – something that would substantially reduce the capital stock, GDP and wealth? What does the possibility of such an event imply for the behavior of economic variables such as...