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The global economic crisis reflected in the statistical forecasts

Ionescu, Victor-Romeo - In: EuroEconomica 39 (2020) 3, pp. 162-170

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613298

Forecasting US economic growth in downturns using cross-country data

Lyu, Yifei; Nie, Jun; Yang, Shu-Kuei X. - In: Economics letters 198 (2021), pp. 1-5

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605756

Impact of COVID-19 : nowcasting and big data to track economic activity in Sub-Saharan Africa

Buell, Brandon; Chen, Carissa; Chérif, Réda; Seo, … - 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic underscores the critical need for detailed, timely information on its evolving economic impacts, particularly for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where data availability and lack of generalizable nowcasting methodologies limit efforts for coordinated policy responses. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613515

Nowcasting and Forecasting GDP in Emerging Markets Using Global Financial and Macroeconomic Diffusion Indexes

Cepni, Oguzhan - 2018

In this paper, we contribute to the nascent literature on nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging market economies using big data methods. This is done by analyzing the usefulness of various dimension reduction, machine learning and shrinkage methods including sparse principal component...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915427

Estimating potential output in developing countries

Burns, Andrew; Van Rensburg, Theo Janse; Dybczak, Kamil; … - In: Journal of policy modeling : JPMOD ; a social science … 36 (2014) 4, pp. 700-716

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398963

Forecasting Potential Impact of COVID-19 on India and Indonesia’s GDP

Modi, Shubham; Jindal, Pragya - 2021

In this paper, the Box-Jenkins approach has been used to build the appropriate Autoregressive-Integrated Moving-Average (ARIMA) model to understand the short-term economic impact of coronavirus on India and Indonesia’s economies. The quarterly data for forecasting India and Indonesia's GDP was...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219381

Nowcasting quarterly GDP growth during the COVID-19 crisis using a monthly activity indicator

Hartigan, Luke; Rosewall, Tom - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015066318

The COVID-19 pandemic and overconfidence bias : the case of cyclical and defensive sectors

Azam, Md Qamar; Hashmi, Nazia Iqbal; Hawaldar, Iqbal Thonse - In: Risks : open access journal 10 (2022) 3, pp. 1-15

This research paper analyses the impact of COVID-19 to investigate the overconfidence bias in 12 cyclical and defensive … that in the pre COVID-19 phase overconfidence bias is more prevalent in all the cyclical sectors; in particular, MEDIA … trading behaviour. ENERGY is the only sector in both the phases that does not witness overconfidence bias. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093209

Overpersistence bias in individual income expectations and its aggregate implications

Rozsypal, Filip; Schlafmann, Kathrin - 2021

empirical joint distribution of liquid assets and income. Second, the bias alters the distribution of marginal propensities to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495059

Overpersistence bias individual income expectations and its aggregate implications

Rozsypal, Filip; Schlafmann, Kathrin - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011675928

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