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the aggregate consumption to income ratio. By standard intertemporal budget constraint logic, this ratio is linked to … expectations of future income and consumption growth rates. We investigate whether these expectations suffice to explain the shifts … in the consumption-income ratio that occur during disaster periods or whether, on the other hand, consumers become more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511037
economies during times of crisis. We find some limited evidence in its favour: if public consumption is reduced in response to a … fiscal crisis (as defined by a high level of debt), private consumption does seem to increase. However the size of the effect … is smaller than that typically found in similar studies. Furthermore, the increase in private consumption is not usually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293826
This paper examines the effect of minimum wage changes on local aggregate inflation and consumption growth. The paper …-wage workers. Interestingly, consumers adjust their real food consumption when minimum wages rise, suggesting that some workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059582
This paper evaluates a novel form of fiscal stimulus: a temporary cut in the rate of Value Added Tax (VAT). In December 2008, the UK cut the standard rate of VAT by 2.5 percentage points for 13 months in an effort to stimulate spending. We estimate the effect of the cut on prices and spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381367
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business … crowding-in of both consumption and entry can be generated only under very specific assumptions. In a static model with full … such that future profits are high enough to generate entry. However, consumption falls for conventional parameter values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
English Abstract: This paper explores the heterogeneous effects of monetary policy on consumption between workers and … retirees. Using household-level data from the U.S., Italy, Japan and Korea, we first show that the consumption of retirees … in order to study the mechanism of the differential effects on consumption of workers and retirees of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607046
in consumption in five key sectors: tourism, hospitality, services, retail, and public transports. We identify a large …-term sectoral consumption shifts may occur. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643267
in consumption in five key sectors: tourism, hospitality, services, retail, and public transports. We identify a large …-term sectoral consumption shifts may occur. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665880
pandemic to analyze the response of consumption spending to unemployment risk. We find that earlier in the pandemic, higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012395140
To predict the effects of the 2020 U.S. "CARES" act on consumption, we extend a model that matches responses of … households to past consumption stimulus packages. The extension allows us to account for two novel features of the coronavirus … likely be necessary if consumption spending is to recover. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241286