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the aggregate consumption to income ratio. By standard intertemporal budget constraint logic, this ratio is linked to … expectations of future income and consumption growth rates. We investigate whether these expectations suffice to explain the shifts … in the consumption-income ratio that occur during disaster periods or whether, on the other hand, consumers become more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511037
economies during times of crisis. We find some limited evidence in its favour: if public consumption is reduced in response to a … fiscal crisis (as defined by a high level of debt), private consumption does seem to increase. However the size of the effect … is smaller than that typically found in similar studies. Furthermore, the increase in private consumption is not usually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293826
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002444850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011849677
This paper provides a critical analysis of the possible methods, data sources and the existing results of the field of 'the economic costs of mass violent conflict' by identifying strengths and weaknesses of the existing literature. The report evaluates content, methods, and data sources of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438798
In most instances, the dynamic response of monetary and other policies to shocks is infrequent and lumpy. The same holds for the microeconomic response of some of the most important economic variables, such as investment, labor demand, and prices. We show that the standard practice of estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369179
Besonders seit dem starken Anstieg der Staatsschuldenquoten nach dem Ausbruch der jüngsten weltweiten Finanzkrise und der Großen Rezession spielt das Thema sowohl in der öffentlichen als auch in der wissenschaftlichen Debatte eine prominente Rolle. Die Nationale Akademie der Wissenschaften...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011773202
save more, raising aggregate output and consumption. A temporary rebate is mostly saved and increases consumption … out capital and reduce output and consumption, causing welfare to deteriorate. -- Short-run fiscal policy ; life …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657316
The recent financial crises pointed out the central role of public and private debt in modern economies. However, even if debt is a recurring topic in discussions about the current economic situation, economic modelling does not take into account debt as one of the crucial determinants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009244222
policy shocks lead to a deterioration in earnings, income and consumption inequality and contribute to their fluctuation. The … response of income and consumption at different quantiles suggests that contractionary policy has a larger negative effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431334