In this note we sketch a dynamic framework within which the discussion on the macroeconomic effects of climate change take place. The problem setting is characterized by scientific uncertainties about the development of climate, potential large economic losses and human beings having their...

Ein staatliches Investitionsprogramm zum Anschub schnelleren Wachstums wird in den Krisenländern der Europäischen Währungsunion von vielen gewünscht. Die Europäische Währungsunion hat dazu eine Investitions-Initiative gestartet. Aktuell wird diskutiert, ob diese zusätzlichen staatlichen...

Ein staatliches Investitionsprogramm zum Anschub schnelleren Wachstums wird in den Krisenländern der Europäischen Währungsunion von vielen gewünscht. Die Europäische Währungsunion hat dazu eine Investitions-Initiative gestartet. Aktuell wird diskutiert, ob diese zusätzlichen staatlichen...

This paper uses a FAVAR model with external instruments to show that the policy uncertainty shocks are recessionary and are associated with an increase in the exit of firms and a decrease in entry and in the stock price with total factor productivity rising in the medium run. To explain this...

This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1979 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal...

The global financial crisis (2008-09) led to a sharp contraction in both Euro Area (EA) and US real activity, and was followed by a long-lasting slump. However, the post-crisis adjustment in the EA and the US shows striking differences—in particular, the EA slump has been markedly more...

The global financial crisis (2008-09) led to a sharp contraction in both Euro Area (EA) and US real activity, and was followed by a long-lasting slump. However, the post-crisis adjustment in the EA and the US shows striking differences - in particular, the EA slump has been markedly more...

This paper identifies shocks to the Federal Reserve's inflation target as VAR innovations that make the largest contribution to future movements in long-horizon inflation expectations. The effectiveness of this scheme is documented via Monte-Carlo experiments. The estimated impulse responses...