I estimate the impact of conflict in Ukraine between 2014 and 2020. I use the Synthetic Control Method to estimate the counterfactual outcome of the strength of the Ukrainian economy had it been free from foreign intervention. Estimates suggest that the real GDP per capita has been approximately...

In this paper, a new approach to disclose the impact of politics on economic growth is presented: we use data derived from content analysis of party manifestos as measures of party preferences. In a panel of 23 OECD countries, we detect a positive impact of party support for various...

Den Landesbanken fehlt ein sinnvolles und tragfähiges Geschäftsmodell. Die internationale Finanzkrise hat dies in aller Schärfe deutlich gemacht. Bereits vor der Abschaffung der umfassenden staatlichen Haftungsbedingungen im Jahr 2005 galten einzelne Kreditinstitute aus der Gruppe der...

This paper is based on the conjecture that institutional details matter and that attempts to estimate the economic effects of federalism by drawing on a simple dummy variable neglect potentially important institutional details. Based on a pricipal component analysis, seven aspects of both...

Why have economic reforms aimed at reducing the role of the state been successful in some cases but not others? Are reform failures the consequence of leviathan states that hinder private economic activity, or of weak states unable to implement policies effectively and provide a supportive...

This paper explores the idea that institutional details matter and that attempts to estimate the economic effects of federalism by employing a simple dummy variable neglect potentially important institutional details. Based on a principal component analysis, seven aspects of both federalism and...

This paper contributes to the literature on specific deterrence by addressing the issue of selecting adolescents into adult and juvenile law systems. In Germany, different from the U.S. and most other countries, turning a critical cutoff age does not cause a sharp discontinuity from juvenile to...

Das deutsche Staatswesen und seine Verwaltung zeigen sich den aktuellen Herausforderungen nicht mehr in dem Umfang gewachsen, wie es Bürger und Wirtschaft erwarten. Entscheidungsprozesse im föderalen Bundesstaat sind oft sehr langwierig, und einmal getroffene Entscheidungen von Bund und...

President Joe Biden faces some political and economic headwinds in the upcoming U.S. midterm elections this year. Current economic challenges include historically high inflation rates and signs of an impending recession. [...] This paper gives a critical overview of the political and economic...

This paper studies the role of fiscal and monetary institutions in macroeconomic stability and budgetary control in central, eastern and south-eastern European countries (CESEE) in comparison with other OECD countries. CESEE countries tend to grow faster and have more volatile output than...