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We propose a structural vector-autoregressive model for the German natural gas market to investigate the impact of the 2022 Russian supply stop on the German economy. We combine conventional and narrative sign restrictions to leverage information about supply cuts for identification and find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560154
We use a structural VAR model to study the German natural gas market and investigate the impact of the 2022 Russian supply stop on the German economy. Combining conventional and narrative sign restrictions, we find that gas supply and demand shocks have large and persistent price effects, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560234
We use a structural VAR model to study the German natural gas market and investigate the impact of the 2022 Russian supply stop on the German economy. Combining conventional and narrative sign restrictions, we find that gas supply and demand shocks have large and persistent price effects, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576948
We contribute to the task of identifying trends and cycles in energy prices by examining very long series of prices for coal and oil, going back to 1650 in the case of coal and 1859 in the case of oil. We find annual rates of increase in real price of greater than two percent are found for coal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060922
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countries, sometimes called GASPEC. We use the World Gas Model, a dynamic, strategic representation of world gas production … North America would be affected more than other parts of the world. Lastly, the vulnerability of gas importers worldwide on … ; trade ; cartel ; collusion ; World Gas Model …
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