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The financial crises of 2007-2008 and the subsequent worldwide recession show the importance of exploring the correlation between financial and real crises. Starting from our new estimation of the Italian business cycle (Bartoletto et al., 2017), we analyze the linkage between banking crises and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819402
This Article suggests a link between insider trading regulation and macroeconomic risk. Current securities laws do not explicitly prohibit a company insider from trading in the stocks of her company’s suppliers, customers, competitors, and complementors (based on material, non-public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252106
We develop a methodological framework to analyse systemic risks capturing both direct and indirect (or systemic) effects. We apply it to climate transition shocks in the context of Canada. We use scenario analysis to capture the direct effects-in the form of credit, market and liquidity risks-on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015449440
This chapter surveys work dedicated to macroeconomic analysis using an agent-based modeling approach. After a short review of the origins and general characteristics of this approach a systemic comparison of the structure and modeling assumptions of a set of important (families of) agent-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928988
Did the Federal Reserves' Quantitative Easing (QE) in the aftermath of the financial crisis have macroeconomic effects? To answer this question, we estimate a large-scale DSGE model over the sample from 1998 until 2020, including data of the Fed's balance sheet. We allow for QE to affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826381
This paper is concerned with the apparent change in the U.S. oil price-macroeconomy relationship. It is investigated to what extent this change can be accounted for by the large oil price surges witnessed in the 1970s. The innovative approach of rolling impulse responses is applied and both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158142
Did the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing (QE) in the aftermath of the financial crisis have macroeconomic effects? To answer this question, we estimate a large-scale DSGE model over the sample from 1998 until 2020, including data of the Fed's balance sheet. We allow for QE to affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244027
This paper is concerned with the apparent change in the U.S. oil price-macroeconomy relationship. It is investigated to what extent this change can be accounted for by the large oil price surges witnessed in the 1970s. The innovative approach of rolling impulse responses is applied and both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857164
In this work we analyze the short- and long-run effects of fiscal austerity policies, employing an agent-based model populated by heterogeneous, boundedly-rational firms and banks. The model, in line with the family of "Keynes+Schumpeter" formalism, is able to account for a wide array of macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437048
The persistently low and (partly) negative output growth in Germany in 2019 evoked memories of the recent global economic crisis and, by this, sparked debates about measures to counter the growing number of unemployed, for example changing the generosity of unemployment benefits (UB) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214516