The United Nations Sendai (2015) framework aims to reduce disaster risk. We offer a careful definition and computation … of the individual and property risk targets. Selecting the largest and better studied class of “natural disasters” over … the period 1970-2018, we show that individual risk is “likely” falling, that property risk is neither rising nor falling …

Risk classification refers to the use of observable characteristics by insurers to group individuals with similar … expected claims, to compute the corresponding premiums, and thereby to reduce asymmetric information. Permitting risk … undesirable equity consequences and undermine the implicit insurance against reclassification risk which legislated restrictions …