Kuvshinov, Dmitry; Richter, Björn; Zimmermann, Kaspar - 2022
This paper studies the long-run evolution of bank risk and its links to the macroeconomy. Using data for 17 advanced … economies, we show that the riskiness of bank assets declined materially between 1870 and 2016. But even though bank assets have … become safer, the losses on these assets are associated with increasingly large output gaps. Before 1945, bank asset returns …