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levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and … renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery …
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This paper mainly examines the effect of financial development on the recession, while controlling for potential recession factors. Using panel data of 129 countries spanning 1990-2010, we implemented "Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing", "Local Linear" and "Iteratively Reweighted Least...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012221855
We investigate the effects of financial development on recession while controlling for potential recession factors using data of about 129 countries covering the 1990-2010 period. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study examining this relationship using a plural and innovative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318636
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An important property of hysteresis is that temporary events of sufficient magnitude can have permanent effects. The … permanent effects on the US economy as a result of hysteresis. We investigate this hypothesis by focusing on aggregate activity … -- both actual and potential -- and searching for signs of possible adverse hysteresis effects in the data generated by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353791
This paper reconsiders the role of macroeconomic shocks and policies in determining the Great Recession and the subsequent recovery in the US. The Great Recession was mainly caused by a large demand shock and by the ZLB on the interest rate policy. In contrast with previous findings, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680
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This study delves into the impacts of the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 health crisis on U.S. financial indices, exploring the intricate relationship between economic shocks and these indices during downturns. Using Markov switching regression models and control variables,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636196