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The aim of the article is to clarify the controversies surrounding the relationship between inflation and unemployment … also an increase in inflation. The article, therefore, hypothesises that the relationships between unemployment and … inflation in the countries studied during the above period were unidirectional. To verify this hypothesis, two basic research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015063564
In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688
Sharp changes in consumer expenditure may bias inflation during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using public data from debit … inflation was higher during the lock-down than suggested by CPI inflation. The annual inflation rate of the COVID price index … lead to inflation being underestimated by more than a quarter of a percentage point until the end of 2020. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392561
This paper assesses the macroeconomic consequences of a prolonged period of low and falling inflation when monetary … would reduce inflation and stimulate output have contractionary effects on economic activity, once the ZLB interacts with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999058
Issues of inflation measurement are fundamental to the conduct of monetary policy. Price indices form the foundation of … mechanism for holding independent policymakers accountable. To shed some light on the role of inflation measurement, the annual …: Price indices used by central banks; the role of wages and productivity in inflation policy; and the measurement and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198383
Long-term inflation expectations in the euro area reached historically low levels at the end of 2019, suggesting a … possible de-anchoring from the European Central Bank’s “below, but close to, 2 per cent” inflation aim. The decline in long …-term inflation expectations exerted a downward pressure on inflation between 2014 and 2016, and in 2019. Counterfactual simulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307766
Do extreme events have a significant effect about textual sentiment? The purpose of this article is to highlight the need to correct the estimation of indicators of economic uncertainty. The indicators were constructed from textual data about the perspective of extreme events. For this purpose,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281527
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774225
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908173
The issue of the backward-looking versus the forward-looking Phillips curve is still an open question in the macroeconomics profession. We identify the real output effects of monetary policy shocks as a crucial implication of the traditional Phillips curve. The backward-looking Phillips curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776423