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factor in explaining the large budget deficits and increases in debt that follow the crisis. Our estimates of the rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977744
crisis, with a year-over-year contraction of 15 percent during the first quarter of 2009. At the same time, anticipating the … fallout from the crisis, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) decreased policy rates by an astounding 1025 basis … the recent recession have been? Taking the most intense year of the crisis as our baseline, namely 2009, counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009157464
No one seems to be neutral about the effects of EMU on the German economy. Roughly speaking, there are two camps: those who see the euro as the advent of a newly open, large, and efficient regime which will lead to improvements in European and in particular in German competitiveness; those who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768851
This paper investigates empirically the drivers of financial imbalances ahead of the global financial crisis. Three … financial imbalances ahead of the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131803
This paper explores the domestic and international effects of an increase in observed interest rates (conventional monetary policy) and expected interest rates (forward guidance). We find significant spillovers to a broad range of countries when both are subject to a tightening shock: Output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833360
We provide a theory of the limits to monetary policy independence in open economies arising from the interaction between capital flows and domestic collateral constraints. The key feature is the existence of an "Expansionary Lower Bound" (ELB), defined as an interest rate threshold below which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891873
We develop a factor-augmented vector autoregression model to estimate the effects of changes in U.S. monetary policy and economic policy uncertainty have on the Chinese housing, equity and loan markets. We find that the decline in the U.S. policy rate since the Great Recession has led to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937693
The global financial crisis (2008-09) led to a sharp contraction in both Euro Area (EA) and US real activity, and was … followed by a long-lasting slump. However, the post-crisis adjustment in the EA and the US shows striking differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969881
This paper examines cross-country heterogeneity and time-variability in the effects of unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) in advanced economies (AEs) on portfolio inflows to emerging economies (EMEs), with a panel smooth transition regression model. The drivers of the two dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026034
In this paper, I develop a two-country general equilibrium model with financial frictions to study the global consequences of quantitative easing (QE) and foreign exchange reserve accumulation. In the model, the key financial frictions are limited commitment and differential pledgeability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217789