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patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the 'normal regime', oil price … shocks are followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the … same direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709632
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102206
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a monetary transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060545
This paper develops an estimated New Keynesian model of a commodity-exporting economy for an integrated policy framework, integrating the full range of policies used in practice and featuring a range of nominal and real rigidities, macro-financial linkages, and transmission channels of external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249617
consumer price index inflation rates for most economies. While many Asian economies have benefited from low international oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621249
Do inflation expectations react to changes in the volatility of monetary policy? Yes, but only until the global … elevated uncertainty surrounding monetary policy, affects the inflation expectation formation process. Based on U.S. data since … inflation expectations and inflation. However, after the Great Recession this link has disappeared, even when controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489332
We study asymmetric inflation effects of both conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231034
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
Issues of inflation measurement are fundamental to the conduct of monetary policy. Price indices form the foundation of … mechanism for holding independent policymakers accountable. To shed some light on the role of inflation measurement, the annual …: Price indices used by central banks; the role of wages and productivity in inflation policy; and the measurement and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198383