For much of the past two decades, interest rates have fallen in Canada (and elsewhere). At the time of writing, however, with inflation well above the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent target, we are headed in the opposite direction. Where we will land over the long haul is unclear. However, it is...

We analyze the link between monetary policy and the growth of shadow banks, and by extension, financial stability in Canada. Using monthly financial market data from 1991-2015 in a two-stage time-varying coefficient Bayesian vector autoregression approach, we find that greater shares of shadow...

The Bank of Canada’s mandate is to target an inflation rate of 2 percent, but financial instability can have important effects on economic activity, which can influence the Bank’s ability to hit that target. The concern is that monetary policy and financial stability might work at...