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need to correct the estimation of indicators of economic uncertainty. The indicators were constructed from textual data … Pandemic) in its word list. Initial results show that there is a significant effect of COVID-19 on the estimation of the … extreme events. Moreover, failing to take conjunctural issues into account throughout the estimation process can result in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281527
We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364299
This paper summarizes the international evidence on the performance of quantitative easing (QE) as a monetary policy tool when conventional policy rates are constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB). A large body of evidence suggests that expanding the central bank's balance sheet through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384133
Although Central Banks have pursued the same objectives throughout their existence, primarily price and financial stability, the interpretation of their role in doing so has varied. We identify three stable epochs, when such interpretations had stabilised, ie: 1.The Victorian era, 1840s to 1914; 2....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094093
We propose a new framework for monetary policy analysis to study monetary policy normalization when exiting a liquidity trap. The optimal combination of reserves and interest rate policy requires an increase in liquidity (reserves) a few quarters after the policy rate is set at the effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193365
The paper summarizes some of the main findings about domestic monetary policy from my three volume history. It finds that the Federal Open Market Committee concentrates excessively on the very near-term and rarely discusses medium or long-term implications. Also it has never agreed on a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148153
We provide an up-to-date overview of the literature on the desirability of central bank transparency from an economic viewpoint. Since the move towards more transparency, a lot of research on its effects has been carried out. First, we show how the theoretical literature has evolved, by looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714495
Low inflation hit the Japanese economy shortly after the burst of the bubble in stocks and real estate in 1991 and has … trade dispute. In the early 1990s, Japan faced sluggish economic growth and low inflation, as well as severe structural … difficult to judge the effectiveness and efficiency of the BOJ's policy tools, as achievement of inflation beyond the 2% price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290883
This paper studies the effects of ECB communications about unconventional monetary policy operations on the perceived sovereign risk of Italy over the last five years. More than fifty events concerning non-standard operations are identified and classified with respect to the specific ECB...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783711
- December 2015 and five small open inflation targeting economies. Using entropy balancing, I create a synthetic control group ….66 - 0.69 percentage points (pp) after 30 months. The same increase leads to a reduction in the inflation gap with a peak … (ii) with the level of asset purchases. This causes the impact of asset purchases on the inflation gap to eventually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553983