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Carbon pricing and inflation expectations : evidence from France
Hensel, Jannik; Mangiante, Giacomo; Moretti, Luca - 2023
This paper examines the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and its implications for central banks' price stability mandate. Carbon policy shocks are identified using high-frequency identification and combined with French firm-level survey data. A change in carbon price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312549
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Unconventional monetary policy and inflation expectations in the euro area
Aßhoff, Sina; Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2020
Auswirkungen der unkonventionellen Geldpolitik ist nicht trivial, da standardisierte empirische Instrumente wie die VAR … Problem zu lösen. Wir stellen fest, dass die unkonventionelle Geldpolitik zwar kurzfristig zu einem Anstieg der … beigetragen hat. Dennoch deuten sie auf einen durch die unkonventionelle Geldpolitik ausgelösten Anstieg des mittelfristigen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149519
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Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations : a regime-switching framework for the euro area
Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; Hubrich, Kirstin - 2017
We investigate whether the response of the macro-economy to oil price shocks undergoes episodic changes. Employing a regime-switching vector autoregressive model we identify two regimes that are characterized by qualitatively different patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
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Managing households' expectations with salient economic policies
D'Acunto, Francesco; Hoang, Daniel; Weber, Michael - 2019 - This version: August 2019
The empirical effectiveness of economic policies that operate theoretically through similar channels differs substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a policy whose implications are harder to understand by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
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Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance : a real-time assessment
Coenen, Günter; Warne, Anders - 2013
This paper employs stochastic simulations of the New Area-Wide Model - microfounded open-economy model developed at the ECB - to investigate the consequences of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates for the evolution of risks to price stability in the euro area during the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200892
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The effect of unconventional monetary policy on inflation expectations : evidence from firms in the United Kingdom
Boneva, Lena; Cloyne, James; Weale, Martin; Wieladek, Tomasz - 2016
This paper investigates the effect of quantitative easing (QE) and other unconventional monetary policies on inflation and wage expectations of UK manufacturing firms. To identify the effect of QE on firms' expectations, we use a novel approach of combining microeconometric data with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515882
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Inflation, deflation, and uncertainty : what drives euro area option-implied inflation expectations and are they still anchored in the sovereign debt crisis?
Scharnagl, Michael; Stapf, Jelena - 2014
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations
Istrefi, Klodiana - 2014
Theory and evidence suggest that in an environment of well-anchored expectations, temporary economic news or shocks should not affect agents' expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensitive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045550
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Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations : a regime-switching framework for the euro area
Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; Hubrich, Kirstin - 2017
We investigate whether the response of the macro-economy to oil price shocks undergoes episodic changes. Employing a regime-switching vector autoregressive model we identify two regimes that are characterized by qualitatively different patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709632
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Monetary Policy and the Measurement of Inflation : Prices, Wages and Expectations
Cecchetti, Stephen G.; Moreno, Ramon; Mihaljek, Dubravko; … - 2010
Issues of inflation measurement are fundamental to the conduct of monetary policy. Price indices form the foundation of central bank policy frameworks around the world. They serve as guides to decision-making, as well as providing the primary mechanism for holding independent policymakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198383