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fluctuations in uncertainty with persistence ranging from 32 to 128 months carry a negative price of risk of about -2% annually …. The price of risk for fluctuations with persistence outside of this range and for the raw series of aggregate uncertainty … is insignificant. Also, equity exposures are negative and hence the corresponding risk premia are positive. I quantify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014133052
This study provides analytical insight on modelling macroeconomic and oil price volatility in Nigeria. Mainly, the paper employed GARCH model and its variants (GARCH-M, EGARCH and TGARCH) with daily, monthly and quarterly data. The findings reveal that: all the macroeconomic variables considered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460195
: inflation considerations appear to dominate credit risk considerations. For the most part, impact of news is incorporated in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529892
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
This paper investigates whether pre-specified macroeconomic factors can adequately proxy for the pervasive influences in stock returns, within the context of macroeconomic linear factor models motivated by the multifactor Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). Variation in stock returns can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888876
This paper employs a GARCH (1,1) model to investigate the impact of COVID-19 cases and related deaths in the US exchange rate volatility. Results show that an increase of the number of cases and the deaths (both in logs) in the US has a positive impact on the USD/EUR, USD/Yuan and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832852
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