This paper explores whether agricultural commodities exhibited super-contango during the COVID-19 pandemic. We analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the spot price, basis, arithmetic spot price changes, logarithmic spot price changes and arithmetic basis changes of WTI crude, Class III...

This study empirically examine the impact of market conditions on credit spreads as motivated by recently developed structural credit risk models. Using credit default swap (CDS) spreads, we find that, in the time series, average credit spreads are decreasing in GDP growth rate, but increasing...

The effects of credit and monetary policy shocks at the lower bound are analysed using a shadow rate term structure model of the Euro-Dollar interest rate futures and Treasury bond markets. This model uses three factors that are common to both markets and two spread factors that capture the term...

Through large-scale asset purchases, widely known as quantitative easing (QE), central banks around the world have affected the supply of safe assets by buying quasi-safe bonds in exchange for truly safe reserves. We examine the pricing effects of the European Central Bank's bond purchases in...

The process of electricity production, distribution, and consumption represents a complex system with many heterogeneous characteristics. Physical constraints of the electricity, especially the difficulties with its storage, pose specific challenges on the structure of the power network and the...

In this paper we estimate the impact on domestic trade in agricultural commodities of India's demonetization exercise that invalidated 86% of the currency in circulation. Using data on arrivals and prices from close to 3000 regulated markets in India for 35 major agricultural commodities for the...

Purpose - The crude oil market has experienced an unprecedented overreaction in the first half of the pandemic year 2020. This study aims to show the performance of the global crude oil market amid Covid-19 and spillover relations with other asset classes. Design/methodology/approach - The...

The research investigated the impact of macroeconomic variables on the volatility of the commodity futures market in India (together with oil futures, agricultural commodity futures and metal futures). The monetary policies, financial market information and economic environments are determined...

This study examines the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on major agricultural commodity prices (cattle, cocoa, coffee, corn, cotton, hog, rice, soya oil, soybeans, soybean meal, sugar and wheat) using daily data from February 28, 2020 to November 20, 2020. We measured COVID-19 effect using a...

We report new evidence that speculation in energy and precious metal futures are more prevalent in crisis periods and even more so during the COVID-19 pandemic. In contrast, agricultural futures attract more hedging pressure. Post-GFC patterns mirror the 1980s’ recessions. Using quantile...