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candidates fared in the 2014 election. We cannot detect any causal effect of active participation in the 2020 elections on …
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according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
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What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …
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What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
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