Showing 1 - 10 of 79,085
This study provides estimates of economic uncertainty and inflation uncertainty for the Greek economy and considers … their time-varying impact on the corresponding macroeconomic variables, i.e. GDP growth and inflation. The authors find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077830
Do extreme events have a significant effect about textual sentiment? The purpose of this article is to highlight the need to correct the estimation of indicators of economic uncertainty. The indicators were constructed from textual data about the perspective of extreme events. For this purpose,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281527
consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead … inflation expectations and spending today. We find households' inflation expectations and readiness to spend react substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
We study asymmetric inflation effects of both conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231034
(like professional forecasters) have responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by lowering their one-year-ahead inflation … expectations. These responses stand in stark contrast to that of household inflation expectations (as measured by the University of … Michigan or the New York Fed). Indeed, firms' one-year-ahead inflation expectations fell precipitously (to a series low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268092
Long-term inflation expectations in the euro area reached historically low levels at the end of 2019, suggesting a … possible de-anchoring from the European Central Bank’s “below, but close to, 2 per cent” inflation aim. The decline in long …-term inflation expectations exerted a downward pressure on inflation between 2014 and 2016, and in 2019. Counterfactual simulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307766
Using the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's Business Inflation Expectations (BIE) survey, which has been continuously … firms' marginal cost expectations and risk during the COVID-19 pandemic. First, in the early months of the pandemic, firms … shortages) have contributed to elevated short-term unit cost expectations and risk. Specifically, supply shocks accounted for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014368549
There is a growing body of literature examining the effectiveness of the monetary policy on the macroeconomy in different contexts for developed and developing countries. However, lately, especially after the GFC, the focus of research shifted to examine the role of uncertainty in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306714
measures, resulting from the new model, can be used to implement joint risk scenario analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350458
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379