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forecasting recessions. The algorithm selects leading indicators of recessions based on the forecast encompassing principle and …
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-time data. In addition, we assess their ability to predict turning points of the economy. We consider four groups of indicators …
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This paper analyses to what extent a selection of leading indicators is able to forecast U.S. recessions, by means of …
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forecasting recessions. The algorithm selects leading indicators of recessions based on the forecast encompassing principle and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119488