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On the forecasting properties of the alternative leading indicators for the German GDP : recent evidence

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 226 (2006) 3, pp. 234-259

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324956

On the forecasting properties of the alternative leading indicators for the German GDP : recent evidence

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič (contributor); … - 2005

In this paper we perform a comparative study of the forecasting properties of the alternative leading indicators for Germany using the growth rates of German real GDP. We use the post-unification data which cover years from 1991 through 2004. We detect a structural break in the growth rates that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003217187

Latent leading and coincident factors model with Markow-switching dynamics

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič (contributor) - In: Economics bulletin : EB (2001)

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001697754

Predicting the cyclical phases of the post-war U.S. leading and coincident indicators

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič (contributor) - In: Economics bulletin : EB (2002)

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001740866

Secular volatility decline of the US composite economic indicator

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - In: Applied econometrics and international development 2 (2002) 2, pp. 35-61

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003716863

Some evidence of the US business cycle long-term stabilization: decreasing volatility of the US coincident economic indicator

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - In: Advances in macroeconometric modeling : papers and …, (pp. 41-64). 2004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002008183

Konjunkturelle Frühindikatoren in der Krise : weiche Fakten stärker als harte

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Kooths, Stefan - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 76 (2009) 21, pp. 348-354

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003838646

Prognosen der regionalen Konjunkturentwicklung

Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - In: Konjunkturanalyse in der Globalisierung, (pp. 47-55). 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003590279

Forecasting the German cyclical turning points : dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 225 (2005) 6, pp. 653-674

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003219791

Prognosen der regionalen Konjunkturentwicklung

Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 73 (2006) 34, pp. 469-474

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003361230