During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output, inflation did not fall much. This is known as the missing … inflation during the Great Recession. We show that inflation did not fall much because intermediate goods prices were increasing …

During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output, inflation did not fall much. This is known as the missing … stable inflation during the Great Recession. We show that inflation did not fall much because intermediate goods prices were …

What accounts for inflation after 2008? We use the prominent pre-crisis Smets-Wouters (2007) model to address this … question. We find that due to price markup shocks alone inflation would have been 1% higher than observed and 0.5% higher that … responsible for the slow recovery of employment, though not for the initial drop. Monetary policy shocks predict an inflation rate …

We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the … near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …