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growth stimulus by the state. Some tentative conclusions for the subprime financial crisis and the Great Recession are drawn. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010242870
How far do China’s property prices need to drop in order to send the country into a recession? What does this question … explain how economies (mis)allocate resources during bubbles. A 15%-20% property price drop could cause recession, if China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489181
The financial crisis 2008-2009 and the European sovereign debt crisis have shown that stress on financial markets is important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably reflected in many financial market variables, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382999
a fall in aggregate demand, the worst type of recession in the past. Falls in aggregate demand happen when there are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098370
We show that household leverage is an early and powerful predictor of the 2007 to 2009 recession. Counties in the U … durable consumption patterns during the recession. Our findings suggest that a focus on household finance may help elucidate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156702
recession caused by adverse supply shock. It is similar to recessions caused (or aggravated) by post war conversion of defense … (transformational recession). Whereas traditional Keynesian policy (absorption of adverse supply shock by means of expansionary fiscal … East Asian countries that seem to be more successful in overcoming the coronavirus recession provides additional evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833661
Over the past 20 years, Portugal has gone through a boom, a slump, a sudden stop, and now a timid recovery. Unemployment has decreased, but remains high, and output is still far below potential. Competitiveness has improved, but more is needed to keep the current account in check as the economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951181
Most research on the run-up in home prices before the Great Recession has focused on types of excessive demand … excess demand led to fatalism about the collapse in homebuilding that began in 2006 and the eventual recession and financial … recession and the financial crisis were the result of deliberate contractions of demand—both generally and specifically in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826508
Fears of deflation and long-term stagnation have become more commonplace since the Great Recession. Yet, within the … paper undertakes a comparative analysis of the experience of both the Great Depression and the Great Recession by looking at … policies during the Great Recession, private sector stabilizers were actually less significant during the recent crisis than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969983
This paper studies the features of sectoral economic downturns in agriculture, industry and services sectors using an extensive database of 127 countries for the period 1970-2013. Our analysis shows that there are stark differences in the frequency and severity of economic downturns across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930720