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This Element is about agent-based macroeconomics in general, and in particular about a family of evolutionary, agent-based models (ABMs), which are called 'Schumpeter meeting Keynes' (or K+S). The K+S models knit together 'Schumpeterian' endogenous processes of innovation with 'Keynesian'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015414373
Conviction narrative theory (CNT), a social psychological approach to the way economic agents take deisions under Knightian uncertainty, together with the new methodology of directed algorithmic text analysis (DATA), provide the opportunity for a theory of economic sentiment or animal sprits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057194
Nach vorne gerichtete Entscheidungen sind von Erwartungen geprägt. Je klarer und zuversichtlicher diese sind, umso eher wird eine Investitions- oder Konsumentscheidung getroffen. Derzeit sind in Deutschland ein historisch hohes Ausmaß an Verunsicherung sowie schlechte Unternehmenserwartungen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015414323
Nach vorne gerichtete Entscheidungen sind von Erwartungen geprägt. Je klarer und zuversichtlicher diese sind, umso eher wird eine Investitions- oder Konsumentscheidung getroffen. Derzeit sind in Deutschland ein historisch hohes Ausmaß an Verunsicherung sowie schlechte Unternehmenserwartungen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015413860
The persistently low and (partly) negative output growth in Germany in 2019 evoked memories of the recent global economic crisis and, by this, sparked debates about measures to counter the growing number of unemployed, for example changing the generosity of unemployment benefits (UB) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214516
1. Presentation and Critique of the macroeconomic standard models -- 2. Goods side and money side -- 3. Time preference -- 4. Role of the interest rate -- 5. Roundaboutness -- 6. Synthesis of the parts into a conclusive single representation -- 7. Macroeconomic Policy Applications.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015186142
In this paper, I analyze the causes of the prolonged slowdown of the Japanese economy in the 1990s and find that the stagnation of investment, especially private fixed investment, was the primary culprit. I then investigate the causes of the stagnation of household consumption during the 1990s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332277
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324
In the open economy control conditions, the government's main concern should be ensurance of macroeconomic stabilization. One of real tools for achieving this goal is monetary and budgetary levers' combination, in which strong fiscal stimuls should be merged with monetary policy, although...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955223