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This paper analyses the factors influencing the price of oil and its likely evolution over the next quarter century. It begins by investigating the fundamental forces shaping long-term oil price developments, highlighting the importance of growth-led demand for oil, particularly that emanating...
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forecast country inflation. This paper constructs forecasts of common (or 'global') inflation using survey forecasts of country … not at a longer horizon. Global inflation forecasts, and forecast errors, are correlated with survey forecasts and errors … forecasting country inflation than do lags of global inflation. However, for most countries, lagged or forecast global inflation …
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