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This paper evaluates different methods for nowcasting country-level poverty rates, including methods that apply statistical learning to large-scale country-level data obtained from the World Development Indicators and Google Earth Engine. The methods are evaluated by withholding measured poverty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012817560
This paper evaluates different methods for nowcasting country-level poverty rates, including methods that apply statistical learning to large-scale country-level data obtained from the World Development Indicators and Google Earth Engine. The methods are evaluated by withholding measured poverty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013255532
This paper presents a brief analysis of representative measures of inflation expectations from Central Bank of Brazil's Survey of Professional Forecasts that are alternative to the median response. We build time series with the mode and core measures of inflation expectations from the panel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864728
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bank's own interest rate expectations. From a theoretical point of view, the latter should yield the highest forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337208
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explore the relationship between uncertainty and disagreement, as well as their roles in respondents' forecast performance and … forecast revisions. We observe substantial heterogeneity in respondents' uncertainty and disagreement. In addition, there is … little co-movement between uncertainty and disagreement, and forecast performance shows a more robust inverse relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604042