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Adaptive trees : a new approach to economic forecasting
Woloszko, Nicolas - 2020
forecasting. Economic forecasting is made difficult by economic complexity, which implies non-linearities (multiple interactions … the algorithm in forecasting GDP growth 3- to 12-months ahead is assessed through simulations in pseudo-real-time for six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203223
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A Study on Forecasting Economic Convergence of India in Comparison to USA, China and Japan
Rajaiah, Jayaraj; Pendse, Eesha; Thomas, Sheril Anna; … - 2021
economies’ per capita income levels tend to move at a faster rate than that of developed economies. For forecasting, it uses the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216161
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Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth: a bottom up approach from the production side
Hahn, Elke; Skudelny, Frauke - 2008
as a pseudo real time forecasting exercise, i.e. due account is taken of the pattern of available monthly variables over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605021
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Forecasting with dynamics models using shrinkage-based estimation
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - 2008
focusing on forecasting inflation and GDP growth in a panel of countries confirms this finding. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280764
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Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data : a MIDASSO approach
Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2015
regression used in Bai and Ng (2008), called the elastic net (Zou and Hastie, 2005). We illustrate our approach by forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498420
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MIDAS modeling for core inflation forecasting
Libonatti, Luis - 2017 - This draft: December2017
A forecasting exercise is presented to assess the predictive potential of a daily price index based on online prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771633
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Short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany : a supply and demand side system of bridge equations
Pinkwart, Nicolas - 2018
We present a comprehensive disaggregate approach for short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany by explicitly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900715
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Forecasting economic activity using a neural network in uncertain times : Monte Carlo evidence and application to the German GDP
Holtemöller, Oliver; Kozyrev, Boris - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle - 2024
In this study, we analyzed the forecasting and nowcasting performance of a generalized regression neural network (GRNN …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496850
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Sources of deterioration in forecast accuracy during the global financial crisis
Tsuchiya, Yoichi - 2021
This study assesses World Bank (WB) forecasts for growth in real gross domestic product (GDP) and its subcomponents during the global financial crisis of 2008 and the consequent Great Recession in 2009. Several have examined macroeconomic forecasts for advanced economies conducted by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237854
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A Real Time Evaluation of the Central Bank of Chile GDP Growth Forecasts
Pincheira, Pablo M. - 2012
In this article we evaluate the Central Bank of Chile annual GDP growth forecasts during the period 1991-2009 using a novel real-time database. We compare the Central Bank of Chile forecasts with those of the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), Consensus Forecasts, and simple time-series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110963