We use Google search data with the aim of predicting unemployment, CPI and consumer confidence for the US, UK, Canada, Germany and Japan. Google search queries have previously proven valuable in predicting macroeconomic variables in an in-sample context. To our knowledge, the more challenging...

It is widely known that Google Trends has become one of the most popular free tools used by forecasters both in academics and in the private and public sectors. There are many papers, from several different fields, concluding that Google Trends improve forecasts' accuracy. However, what seems to...

The aim of this paper is to analyze whether internet activity, as measured through Google data, influences the evolution of sovereign bond yields. For this purpose, we focus on ten European countries. We run VAR models and Granger causality tests between the Google Search Volume Index (GSVI) and...